Visit-to-visit and day-to-day BP-variability (BPV) predictan increased risk of cardiovascular events, but only reflect one form of BPV. Beat-tobeatBPV can be rapidly assessed and might also be predictive. In consecutive patients within 6 weeks of TIA or non-disabling stroke(Oxford Vascular Study), BPV (CV, coefficient of variation) was measured beat-tobeatover 5 minutes (Finometer), day-to-day over 1 week on home monitoring(HBPM, 3 readings, 3 times daily) and on awake ambulatory BP monitoring (ABPM).BPV after 1 month standard treatment was related (Cox proportional hazards) torecurrent stroke and cardiovascular events over 2-5 years, adjusted for mean SBP. Among 520 patients, 26 had inadequate beat-to-beat recordings and 22patients were in AF. 405 patients had all forms of monitoring. Beat-to-beat BPVpredicted recurrent stroke and cardiovascular events independently of mean SBP(HR per group SD, stroke: 1.47, 1.12-1.91, p=0.005; cardiovascular events: 1.41,1.08-1.83, p=0.01), including after adjustment for age and gender (stroke 1.47,1.12-1.92, p=0.005) and all risk factors (1.40,1.00-1.94, p=0.047). Day-to-day BPV wasless strongly associated with stroke (adjusted HR=1.29, 0.97-1.71, p=0.08) butsimilarly with cardiovascular events (1.41, 1.09-1.83, p=0.009). BPV on awakeABPM was non-predictive (stroke 0.89, 0.59-1.35, p=0.59; cardiovascular events1.08, 0.77-1.52, p=0.65). Despite a weak correlation (r=0.119, p=0.02), beat-to-beatBPV was associated with risk of recurrent stroke independently of day-to-day BPV(1.41, 1.05-1.90, p=0.02). Beat-to-beat BPV predicted recurrent stroke and cardiovascularevents, independently of mean SBP and risk factors, but short-term BPV on ABPMdid not. Beat-to-beat BPV may be a useful additional marker of cardiovascular risk.
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